Well, no explosions from seats, and all now done!
I bit the bullet (sorry!) and removed the seats, after following all the guidance on this and other forums and, of course, the Haynes manual, particularly in reference to disconnecting the battery. Wow they're heavy! But I don't think carpet replacement would have been as straightforward without removal. I didn't take out the centre console, just slackened the torx screws under the armrest and behind the panel with the 12 volt socket, and that gave me enough to jiggle the carpet back in place. My only failure was to break 2 of the plastic fixings for the sill trims, and none of the suppliers seem to stock that particular fixing, so I'm still searching. To date. all still seems dry.
Referring to the title of this thread, I didn't find a way to remove the spare wheel tray, which looks to be fixed by the side trims. I did manage to loosen one side, but then I decided it didn't seem worth pulling the rest apart for such a small result, so I chickened out!
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